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Tuesday, March 26, 2013

WTI Oil Trades Near Five-Week High, U.S. Stockpiles Seen Rising

West Texas Intermediate oil traded near the highest level in five weeks. U.S. crude inventories probably rose as domestic output stayed near the strongest in two decades, a Bloomberg News survey showed.

Futures were little changed after advancing a second day yesterday. Crude stockpiles increased by 1.4 million barrels to 384.1 million last week, the highest since June, according to the median of seven analyst estimates before an Energy Information Administration report tomorrow. Domestic production was 7.15 million barrels a day in the prior week, just 9,000 barrels a day less than the 21-year high reached in the seven days ended March 8.

“The market’s been watching the U.S. reserves quite closely, which have been climbing somewhat, as domestic production has been coming on stream and demand has remained relatively flat,” said David Lennox, an analyst at Fat Prophets in Sydney who predicts WTI will struggle to rise above $95 a barrel for the rest of this year. “Barring any supply shock events, we believe the topside will be somewhat limited.”

WTI for May delivery was at $94.72 a barrel, down 9 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:15 a.m. in Tokyo. The volume of all futures traded was 55 percent below the 100-day average for the time of day. The contract rose $1.10 to $94.81 yesterday, the highest close since Feb. 19. Prices have advanced 3.2 percent this year.

Brent oil for May settlement fell 17 cents to $108 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The volume of all futures traded was 65 percent below the 100-day average. Prices are down 2.8 percent in 2013. The European benchmark crude’s premium to WTI was at $13.28. It closed at $13.36 yesterday, the least since July.
(Source: Bloomberg)

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