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Friday, February 15, 2013

Gold Bears Braced for U.S. to China Growth Recovery



Gold traders are the most bearish in more than a year on mounting speculation that improving economic growth from the U.S. to China will curb demand for this year’s worst-performing precious metal.

Twenty analysts surveyed by Bloomberg this week expect prices to fall next week, while 11 were bullish and three were neutral, making the proportion of bears the highest since Dec. 30, 2011. Hedge funds cut bets on higher prices by 56 percent since October and are approaching their least bullish stance on gold since August, government data show. The metal fell to a five-week low yesterday, and billionaire investors George Soros and Louis Moore Bacon reported reduced stakes in exchange-traded products backed by gold.

Gold Price

The metal fell 2 percent to $1,641.88 an ounce in London this year, reaching $1,637.95 yesterday, the lowest since Jan. 4. Gold climbed 7.1 percent last year in the longest annual rally in at least nine decades. The Standard & Poor’s GSCI gauge of 24 commodities is up 5 percent this year and the MSCI All- Country World Index of equities gained 4.8 percent. Treasuries lost 1.1 percent, a Bank of America Corp. 

index shows.

Gold’s drop compares with a 0.6 percent gain for silver this year. Platinum and palladium rose at least 9.4 percent on concern mine supply will fall as demand increases. An ounce of platinum bought as much as 1.054 ounces of gold yesterday, the most in 17 months, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Industrial usage accounts for about 10 percent of bullion consumption, compared with more than half for the other three metals.
(Source: Bloomberg)

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